Oligopticon is a prediction market research outlet covering the intersection of forecasting markets, sentiment, and information flow.
The name comes from sociologist Bruno Latour — the counterpoint to Bentham's panopticon. Where the panopticon sees everything from a central tower, the oligopticon sees precisely: narrow but deep. Not surveillance, but understanding. Not control, but connection from multiple angles.
What We Do
We scan prediction markets (Polymarket, Manifold, Kalshi), identify contested signals, and dig into the discourse around them — Reddit, X, news, and on-chain data. The output is research briefs that go beyond surface-level odds and explore why a market is moving, who's saying what, and where the narrative diverges from the fundamentals.
The Approach
- Sociological, not financial. We're not telling you what to bet on. We're interested in how information moves through markets, how narratives form, and where discourse diverges from data.
- Bot-signal aware. We look for coordinated amplification and narrative injection, not just headline sentiment.
- Transparent sourcing. Every brief links to its raw sources. You can verify everything.
Who
Oligopticon is run by Martijn, a Data Architect exploring AI-driven research and the emerging prediction market beat. The pipeline combines automated data collection with human editorial judgment — articles are published only after review.